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May 10th, 2026 Unsubscribe Welcome to your daily mind meld with the Polymarket order book. What we're watching today: Top News Ceasefire update Odds for Israeli troops to cross the Litani River in Lebanon are spiking to an all time high. The crossing would mark a widening Israeli offensive in Lebanon, even as the April 23 ceasefire framework remains in place. Check odds → ​ Quick Links US x Iran permanent peace deal by...? → Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? → Senate Republicans have pulled ahead in the Senate forecast, but Democrats continue to lead the odds in key tossup states. Check odds → ​ Quick Links Maine Senate Election Winner → Alaska Senate Election Winner → North Carolina Senate Election Winner → Split decision A split decision victory by Sean Strickland in UFC 328 over Khamzat Chimaev has upended the odds for this year's UFC Middleweight champ. Check odds → ​ Wallet Watch A legend is born This wallet put just under $137k on Strickland when he was an 18% underdog and made over $606k on the upset. View Wallet → ​ Breaking News Odds Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31? View market → 67% +30% Will ground beef hit $10 per pound in 2026? View market → 19% -19% Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026? View market → 61% -12% See all Breaking → ​ Ending Soon Ends In "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office 1d "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office 1d April Inflation US - Annual 1d See all Ending Soon → ​ New Listed How many major Space Weather events this week? (May 10 - May 16) 20h ago #1 song on US Spotify this week? (May 15) 1d ago How many 6.5 or above earthquakes May 11 - May 17? 1d ago See all New → ​ Hot Polymarkets 24H Volume US x Iran permanent peace deal by...? $2.99M Eurovision Winner 2026 $2.92M Brazil Presidential Election $736.1K See all Hot Polymarkets → ​ Top Sports Starts In West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC 4h 2026 NBA Champion 51d Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox 6d Knicks vs. 76ers 8h Spurs vs. Timberwolves 12h See all Top Sports → ​ Last Word Polymarket U.S. Polymarket US is LIVE. Get $20 to trade when you download now. Download now → ​ If you have any feedback on Polymarket, drop us a line at support@polymarket.com. If you don't wish to receive these emails you can unsubscribe here. 228 Park Ave S, PMB 750480 New York, NY 10003-1502 U.S.