This is how the Iran deal blows up

June 16th, 2026 Unsubscribe Welcome back to your daily mind meld with the Polymarket order book. ⚽️ World Cup on Polymarket US. $500 → $749.85 if France beats Senegal 👉 $50 with first deposit (code POLYG50)." Top News Ceasefire update A major risk to the Iran endgame lies in Lebanon. Yesterday, Iran warned any continued Israeli presence in Lebanon violates the deal. But Polymarket traders don't see Israel leaving Lebanon anytime soon... Check odds → Whoops, all draws Hope you like tie games, because yesterday's World Cup action saw draws go 4-for-4. There's a 0.6% chance it happens again today. Check odds → ​ Quick Links France vs Senegal (2 PM ET) → Iraq vs Norway (6 PM ET) → Argentina vs Algeria (9 PM ET) → ​ Wallet Watch Wealth tax plunge Odds for the CA wealth tax to pass have plunged in recent days, led in part by whale trader @chungguskhan who has accumulated more than 242,000 NO shares. View Wallet → ​ Breaking News Odds Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? View market → 21% -47% Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month? View market → 24% -38% Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22? View market → 27% -33% See all Breaking → ​ Ending Soon Ends In Fed rate cut by...? 13h Fed Decision in June? 13h Fed decisions (Mar-Jun) 13h See all Ending Soon → ​ New Listed Will Trump publicly insult Mojtaba Khamenei by Friday? 10h ago Will Trump publicly praise Mojtaba Khamenei by Friday? 10h ago Will Trump hug an Iranian official by June 20? 10h ago See all New → ​ Hot Polymarkets 24H Volume Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? $6.42M Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? $991.5K Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 $941.2K See all Hot Polymarkets → ​ Top Sports Starts In HSBC Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Marton Fucsovics 5d $358.4K World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages 11d $346.9K France vs. Senegal 8h $2.64M See all Top Sports → ​ Whale Moves "Yes" US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? $103.1K FallingStars See Wallet → See all Whale Moves → ​ Top Comments Powered by @Poly_Archive ​ If you have any feedback on Polymarket, drop us a line at support@polymarket.com. If you don't wish to receive these emails you can unsubscribe here. 228 Park Ave S, PMB 750480 New York, NY 10003-1502 U.S.