The most important chart in finance?

March 11th, 2026 Unsubscribe Welcome back to your daily mind meld with the Polymarket order book. What we're watching today: Top News The Most Important Chart in Finance? Financial assets are swinging wildly on every headline related the Strait of Hormuz. But the key question isn't if it will be closed, but how long Iran will be able to restrict traffic through this vital waterway. Odds of a normalization dropped 15% yesterday on news Iran is mining the passage. Read more → Susan Collins is in Trouble Democrats have been trying to pick off Maine's Republican Senator Susan Collins since the late 1990s. Is this the year? Read more → ​ Quick Links Maine Democratic Senate Primary Winner → Golf: Playa or a Master? Scottie Scheffler, is favored to win both The Players (starting tomorrow) and The Masters (in April). But Polymarket traders are more certain Scheffler will win the Masters next month (21%) than they are that he'll win the Players in a few days (15%). The Players tends to have a tougher field, despite The Masters being more prestigious. Read more → ​ Quick Links The Masters Winner → ​ Wallet Watch Framemogging in Tehran Study after study has shown that - despite the best efforts of the woke agenda - outward appearance does matter for success. This trader is putting his money where his mouth is, and betting on Clavicular to assume power as Iran's next Supreme Leader. He'll turn $100 into 30,298 if it happens. View Wallet → ​ Breaking News Odds Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX's initial public offering? View market → 49% +15% Anduril IPO before 2027? View market → 38% +10% Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison? View market → 34% +7% See all Breaking → ​ Ending Soon Ends In Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ Week of March 9? 1d Oscars 2026: Best Actor Winner 3d Oscars 2026: Best Picture Winner 3d See all Ending Soon → ​ New Listed Newark Mayoral Election 14h ago Cuban regime falls in 2026? 15h ago North Korea missile test/launch by March 31? 16h ago See all New → ​ Hot Polymarkets 24H Volume Fed decision in March? $11.57M Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 $7.93M Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner $3.09M See all Hot Polymarkets → ​ Top Sports Starts In 2026 FIFA World Cup Winner 130d 2026 NHL Stanley Cup Champion 110d Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage 3h Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC 7h Capitals vs. Flyers 13h See all Top Sports → ​ ​ Top Comments Powered by @Poly_Archive Last Word 🔮 GEOPOLITICAL CONVEXITY Macro strategist Jon Turek on frontrunning the ECB, the intersection of prediction markets and macro, and how the Iran war is already reshaping the Middle East Read more → ​ If you have any feedback on Polymarket, drop us a line at support@polymarket.com. If you don't wish to receive these emails you can unsubscribe here. 228 Park Ave S, PMB 750480 New York, NY 10003-1502 U.S.